302 Duffy Lane · Strategic Pricing Review

Lakeway Highlands · Lake Travis ISD · 78738 · Foreman Property Group · eXp Realty Luxury

Prepared for the Sellers · May 4, 2026
The Goal We're Solving For
August 1, 2026

Close on or before this date. That is 89 days from today.

Working Backward

Under contract by July 1 — assuming a 30-day close window with a 7- to 10-day option period and a standard 21-day financing horizon.

Where We've Been
1
January 2026

Listed at $1,250,000. Strong launch into the market.

2
Shortly After Launch

A full-price offer was secured — the home appraised, inspected, and presented well enough for a qualified buyer to commit.

3
Final Day of Financing Period

Buyer's financing fell through — outside the seller's control and outside ours.

4
Today · May 2026

The market resets the price. A financing failure resets the contract. We move forward with precision.

What 302 Duffy Already Delivers

This is the comp story that gets lost when people compare on size and year built alone.

Private Pool

A premium feature the $1M+ buyer pool actively shops for in 78738.

Covered Outdoor Living

Fireplace and integrated TV — a true outdoor room, not just a patio.

Highly Private Backyard

Uncommon on this street and in this phase of Lakeway Highlands.

Greenbelt & Hill Country Exposure

Phase 1 · Section 1 — views and setting that command a premium.

What We've Improved Since Launch
Comprehensive Refresh — Top Quartile Presentation

Interior repaint — full home

Exterior repaint — full home

New carpet throughout

New lighting fixtures across every room

LED downlights installed throughout

What Buyers Have Told Us

Two consistent themes in showing feedback:

Kitchen

Cabinetry and countertops read as one cycle behind the price band buyers are shopping above $1.1M.

Floor Plan

The upstairs second primary suite reads as redundant square footage to most buyers.

The Right Response

Renovating those points requires $50K–$80K and 60+ days. We do not have either to spare.

The 78738 Market Today
Active Competition

30+ competing homes in Lake Travis ISD between $900,000 and $1,300,000 within three miles.

What Is Selling

Homes priced where the comp set actually clears.

What Is Sitting

Homes priced where the seller wishes the market still was.

Same Street, Different Product
308 Duffy Lane — Active

$995,000 · 3,987 sf · 5BR/4BA · Built 2013

Listed April 25, 2026.


Critically missing:

  • No pool
  • No covered outdoor living
  • No fireplace
  • Presentation meaningfully below 302 Duffy
What 308 Still Does

It sets the search anchor. Buyers searching this street will see both. Our price needs to make sense relative to it — but we are not selling the same product.

The True Comp Set · Homes With Pools

The 78738 / Lake Travis ISD pool comp set, 3,500 to 4,300 square feet — this is what buyers shopping pools and outdoor living are working from.

No-Pool Neighborhood Context

For reference — these are useful market context, but they are not what 302 Duffy is selling against.

The Takeaway

Sitting actives without pools are clustering $1,025K to $1,099K.

The Pool Premium · What It Is Worth
$995K
Band Floor

Bella Colinas — sitting at 118 days. Bottom of the pool comp set.

$1.05M
Active Median

The midpoint of currently active pool homes in the 78738 comp set.

$1.075M
Under-Contract Median

Where buyers are actually committing — the true market-clearing zone.

$1.15M
Active Ceiling

107 Squires Dr — solar infinity pool, Old Lakeway. Top of the band.

The Strategy · Top 25% Presentation, Bottom 25% of Pricing Band

The luxury pricing principle that breaks logjams: when a property is presented in the top quartile of its competition and priced in the bottom quartile of its true comp band, you create an asymmetry buyers cannot ignore.

Top 25% Presentation
  • Refreshed paint inside and out
  • New carpet and new lighting
  • LED downlights throughout
  • Private pool
  • Covered outdoor living with fireplace and TV
  • Private yard with greenbelt exposure
Bottom 25% of the Pool Comp Band

Priced just above the active floor and well under the under-contract median.

The Pricing Recommendation
$1,074,900

Reduce list price to $1,074,900 — the strategic sweet spot for a fast, financed contract.

1
25th Percentile of Pool Band

The strategic sweet spot for fast contract — bottom of the pool/outdoor-living comp band.

2
Captures the Pool Premium

$25K above the active pool floor (Osceola and Via Besso at $1,050K) and $25K below the under-contract median ($1,100K at 209 Rocky Coast).

3
Above the No-Pool Band

Sits clearly above the no-pool neighborhood band ($1,025K–$1,099K) — preserving the pool/outdoor differentiator.

4
Improves Buyer Financing

Opens 302 Duffy to a wider qualified buyer pool than the current $1.19M ask.

5
Triggers MLS Re-Search Alerts

Refreshes consumer-facing visibility on Realtor.com, Zillow, Redfin, and Compass.

Why This Closes by August 1

The math works at this price. It does not work above it. Average DOM in the new band at current pace: 21 to 40 days for top-presentation pool homes. That delivers two weeks of cushion before the August 1 deadline — flexibility on financing contingencies and inspection negotiations.

The Cost of Waiting
Monthly Staleness Cost

Each 30 days at the wrong price typically costs 1.5% to 2.5% of list value through staleness signals, accumulated DOM, and forced reductions.

$18K
Low End

Per month at the wrong price

$30K
High End

Per month at the wrong price

The Market Is Moving Away From Us

Three new $975K to $995K listings have entered the comp set since April 25.

The market is not accelerating into us. It is accelerating away from us.

The Action Plan
Reduce List Price to $1,074,900

Effective Tuesday, May 5 — immediately triggers MLS re-search alerts and refreshes portal visibility.

Re-Shoot Hero Photography

Refresh exterior, pool, and covered outdoor living photography — interior light and exterior twilight for the re-launch.

Broker Open · Week of May 12

Coordinate a broker open with Lakeway-based agents to generate immediate professional awareness.

Pre-Marketing Email · Evening of May 6

FPG sphere and Lake Travis luxury network — first-mover advantage before the broader market sees the reduction.

Re-Evaluate at 21 Days

If no contract by May 27, consider strategic concessions — rate buy-down or closing-cost credit — before any further price reduction.

The home is ready. The product is in the top quartile. The price needs to meet the qualified buyer where the buyer is right now.

Daniel Foreman | Foreman Property Group | eXp Realty Luxury
512.554.8293 · daniel@foremanpropertygroup.com